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Seasonal Forecasts

"One of the main lessons to be learnt from the damaging 2004 Atlantic hurricane season is the forecasting achievement of Tropical Storm Risk. Although hurricane forecasting first appeared in the 1980s, forecasters have been trying for decades, without success, to deliver accurate predictions on US landfall activity. Scientists at Tropical Storm Risk have made a major step forward in this regard. They are the first to offer a level of precision which is of practical use." (Lord Levene, Chairman of Lloyd's - the world's leading specialist insurance market - in a speech to the Florida insurance industry (May 2005)).

 Seasonal Forecasts and Verifications
Seasonal Forecast or Verification Type Issue Date Description
Atlantic Hurricanes 2024 11th December 2023 Extended Range Forecast for Atlantic hurricane activity in 2024
Atlantic Hurricanes 2023 20th November 2023 Summary of 2023 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Season and Verification of Authors' Seasonal Forecasts
NW Pacific Typhoons 2023 8th August 2023 August Forecast Update for NW Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2023
 Past Seasonal Forecasts

Forecasts are separated by geographical region:
Seasonal Forecasts and Verifications

Atlantic 2024
Atlantic 2023
NW Pacific 2023

Past Seasonal Forecasts

Atlantic
NW Pacific
Australia

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