Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)

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Tropical Storm UTOR Rain: Probability of at least 20 cm in the next 24 hrs

Storm

Current Satellite Images
Region	Image Type
Atlantic	IR	Visible
Atlantic	WV	IR En
NE Pacific	IR	Visible
NW Pacific	IR	WV
Indian Ocean	IR	WV
W Australia	IR	WV
E Australia	IR	WV
SW Pacific	IR	WV

Probability Scale
Chance of Happening	Value		Chance of Happening	Value
Extremely Low	10%		Medium-High	60%
Very Low	20%		High	70%
Low	30%		Very High	80%
Medium-Low	40%		Extremely High	90%
Medium	50%		Certain	100%

Note that all probabilities refer to the occurrence of at least 20 cm (8 ins) of rainfall.

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Rainfall Probabilities

5+ cm (2+ ins) Rainfall Probabilities

0-24 hours lead
0-48 hours lead
0-72 hours lead
0-96 hours lead
0-120 hours lead

12.5+ cm (5+ ins) Rainfall Probabilities

0-24 hours lead
0-48 hours lead
0-72 hours lead
0-96 hours lead
0-120 hours lead

20+ cm (8+ ins) Rainfall Probabilities

0-24 hours lead
0-48 hours lead
0-72 hours lead
0-96 hours lead
0-120 hours lead

Accumulated Rainfall

0-24 hours lead
0-48 hours lead
0-72 hours lead
0-96 hours lead
0-120 hours lead

Position

24 hours lead
48 hours lead
72 hours lead
96 hours lead
120 hours lead

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Researched and Developed by Adam Lea, Mark Saunders and Peter Yuen
TSR Version 4.0 Copyright © 2006 UCL University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT
Last updated on 31 Oct, 2006 9:52 GMT

TSR